[Jacko]

Originally Posted by roni

What I said related to the number of each other's voters who would vote for McCain if their favored candidate were not elected.

My impression of what you said was that a higher proportion of Clinton's voters would go to McCain because of things Clinton had done to destroy Obama's chances of winning in November.

My point was that, from what we know of the demographics of Clinton's supporters (or what we have been told by the media, anyway), is that they tend to be older, less well educated, a higher proportion of them are white and less well off economically than is the case for Obama's supporters, overall.

And here is the point. Those demographic trends in Clinton's supporters are the very people who would be more inclined to be disturbed by the video clips of Jeremiah Wright that were played over and over and over again. My point was also that this would probably have a greater impact on the Clinton voters who told pollsters they would go to McCain than anything Clinton may have said about Obama.

While the Wright story will not, I assume, have an impact on how you or I or Jacko or Mellidee will vote in November it will cost Obama votes then - I think it could cost him between 8 and 15% points in the general election - people who would, in the absence of the Wright story, vote for him.

My point had nothing to do with the poll numbers on trustworthiness or statements about Bosnia or anything else. That is why your response confused me - because my post was about the poll numbers regarding Democratic candidate supporters who might vote for McCain if their favored candidate did not receive the nomination and explanations for why a higher proportion of Clinton supporters indicated that they would vote for McCain.

Your explanation was not too complex, it was just that your response was pretty much unrelated, in my view, to the post of mine that you quoted.

Thanks for the explanation

Ron

What percentage of the vote in the general election do you think Hillary's past will cost her?