Quote:
Originally Posted by roni
New North Carolina and Indiana polls out this morning. I think another one or two will release their last pre-election polls today.
North Carolina
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey in North Carolina: Obama 48%; Clinton 45%; --Tied Within Margin of Error
Compiled from InsiderAdvantage and Southern Political Report staff
May 5, 2008 — An InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Survey conducted for the Southern Political Report shows the Democratic Primary in North Carolina tightening. The results:
Obama: 48%
Clinton: 45%
Undecided: 7%
The telephone survey was conducted Sunday May 4 of 781 registered likely voters in the Tuesday Democratic primary. It was weighted for age, race, and gender, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3%.
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “Really interesting dynamics at play here. Clinton has increased her lead among white voters to 58% - very close to the 60% plus level needed to pull off a victory. She now leads among those who say they are Democrats but has started to trail among Unaffiliated voters, who are allowed to participate in Tuesday’s election. Additionally, African-American voters are not quite as solid with Obama as they have been, at least based on previous exit polls. Clinton has remained in the upper teens (17%) of African-American support in our recent surveys. African-American turnout will be the key to this race. Our poll is based on a turnout model of 35% African-American vote. Anything under that number could give Clinton a shocking upset. But Indiana has become a true horserace that should concern the Clinton camp.”
Indiana
Suffolk's poll shows Hillary with a 6 point lead, though Insider Advantage, which has not yet released its new Indiana numbers, say (just above) that Hillary's lead has softened in Indiana.
Guess we'll find out tomorrow night or Wednesday morning.
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Interesting.
Fun to watch all the excitement of a well fought 4th quarter.
Too bad the game was lost in the first three.