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Old 05-11-2008   #13000 (permalink)
Just Lucky
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Out On the Edge.
Posts: 6,580
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jacko View Post
I was just thinking that polls and pundit predictions seem to be much less accurate this year than I have seen in the past... This would seem to indicate to me that what we think we may know about the electorate, remains more a work in progress this year, than it has been in years past.

8 years of extremely "polarizing" leadership under GW, his resulting extremely low approval ratings, the normal political pendulum swing (each of these factors causing complete disarray in the Republican party ranks) and the 30-40 year pendulum "millennial makeover" talked about recently on the NewsHour here, seems to me to be driving a good deal of confusion into the pundits and think tanks analysis resulting in a breakdown in their traditional abilities to predict outcomes as accurately as they had in the past...perhaps not.......

...and we do love our children and our mama's despite what they say....
I've said this before, but I think much of the demographic modeling is in error.

I haven't quite decided whether or not to start a re-education camp for pundits.

My dog thinks I don't love him because I don't buy him steak.
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