Quote:
Originally Posted by ryberg
New LA Times/Bloomberg poll just out has Obama up by +12 nationally, echoing the +15 Newsweek had here a short while back. RCP lists a number of swing states in his favor, as well...
Steve
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Here is the detail of the Oregon poll I cited. Sixty-two percent of men gave McCain the nod. That most likely means a proportion of Democratic men in Oregon said they would vote for McCain. Sixty percent of women gave Obama the nod in the poll.
On the swing states Steve mentioned,
here is the link. In two of the states Obama is up by one percent or less - making the "real lead" 3 states to 2 states with two basically tied (well inside the margin of error).
I suspect it is tighter than the national polls indicate, particulary if we take into account the lead that previous liberal democratic candidates have had in the summer before the elections, however....
The table is set for the Democrats this year, absent any "event". Even though I occasionally get a sinking feeling in my gut, the Dems should be able to sweep it.