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Old 07-12-2005   #31 (permalink)
very sparkly
 
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Lived in Belize for 3 years a while ago. Used to take lots of B vitamin. For me, the best insect repellent there is. Problem is when you sweat a lot you smell like it. Just use more perfume.
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Old 07-12-2005   #32 (permalink)
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I was in Merida for Isidore. Category 4 when it came in and cat 3 for 12 hours as it stalled just south. One good thing about living in Mexico is that most of the houses are made of block. Unlike those houses you see blow away in the US, the houses here stay put. Parts might fly off (I saw Sky sattelite dishes fling down the street like frisbees), but the structures remain solid. It was the aftermath that sucked. 3 weeks with no water and a month with no electricity in my house. It was an experience, and one that I hope was once in a lifetime. However, I choose to live here (or others choose to vacation here), and hurricane season in a hurricane prone area is just a fact of life. They come or they go somewhere else. At least we get some warning, unlike earthquake and tornado prone areas.
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Old 07-12-2005   #33 (permalink)
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I have a 15 year old and 8 year old daughter and 13 year old son. The bugs don't bother me or my son. I guess we're too sour. But they feast on the girls, they look like they have chicken pox if there's mosquitos around.

I have never run into mosquitos around the beach before, must be the constant breeze. I will make sure to take bug spray. Thanks for the heads up.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Playa Junkie
How old is your daughter? My son was like a mosquito magnet - didn't seem to bother us on the beach - just in our room, at dinner, in town, at the show, in the store. Everywhere but the beach. We brought bug spray and weren't afraid to use it! (Stay away from bananas as well - something about potassium attracting them - could be an old wives or new moms tale for all I know!)
 
Old 07-12-2005   #34 (permalink)
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based on current computer models as of tuesday afternoon, there are now two models predicting a hurricane hitting the penisula somewhere around belize or slightly north. computer models can be seen on weather underground.
 
Old 07-12-2005   #35 (permalink)
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Note that Playa is smack dab in the middle of the predicted track. Belize is actually in the lower probability range. Just wonderful.

Does the sun at least come out in the eye of the hurricane?


Quote:
Originally Posted by Loftguys
based on current computer models as of tuesday afternoon, there are now two models predicting a hurricane hitting the penisula somewhere around belize or slightly north. computer models can be seen on weather underground.
 
Old 07-12-2005   #36 (permalink)
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Wow!Just saw the track for Emily.I hope everyone in Playa is watching this very closely.
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Old 07-12-2005   #37 (permalink)
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I'm off tomorrow..............emily play nice and stay away!
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Old 07-12-2005   #38 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by playabums
I saw a hurricane expert this weekend say global warming has nothing to do with the increase in storms.He said this happens every 30 years or so and lasts 10-25 years.I think he was on Fox news.Just saw the lastest track for Emily,they bring it near the Yucatan as a cat 3.Hope you guys down in Playa will be safe.I am feeling better about canceling my trip to Playa,I believe I made the right choice.
Wow! An "expert" on FOX NEWS takes the pro-Bush, pro-administration, pro-big business position that global warming is a bunch of hooey? Huh! Who'd a thunk it???

Last edited by StewartG; 07-12-2005 at 10:55 PM..
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Old 07-12-2005   #39 (permalink)
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OMG---just saw the news, Looks like Emily is coming to play. Hopefully, it will stay south of Playa.
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Old 07-12-2005   #40 (permalink)
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Just saw the 11pm new forcast track.Sorry folks but it does not look good for Playa.There are many links to see the new track.This is fast becoming an issue for Playa.I have many friends who live there and I am worried about them.
As far as you Stewart,I just feel sad for you.
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Old 07-12-2005   #41 (permalink)
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The National Hurricane Center's five day track shows Emily making a BEELINE to Playa. Plenty can happen, but this can get ugly for all the wonderful Playaidians and other assorted peeps down there...

Here's the link to the NHC's track:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...946.shtml?5day
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Old 07-12-2005   #42 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by StewartG
The National Hurricane Center's five day track shows Emily making a BEELINE to Playa. Plenty can happen, but this can get ugly for all the wonderful Playaidians and other assorted peeps down there...

Here's the link to the NHC's track:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...946.shtml?5day
As previously mentioned earlier in this thread and on other threads that have discussed the various tropical storms effecting the area during this hurricane season... Playa.Info provides up-to-date info on tropical storms via direct feeds from the NOAA... this info is located in the "read more" section of the site (see tab top of page) under the title "tropical storm forecasts" that appears in the menu on the left side of that page. Or you can just... click here.
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Old 07-13-2005   #43 (permalink)
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Needing addvice now

I know no one can predict anything, but we are scheduled to leave for PDC tomorrow morning and are really concerned about Emily. Dont mind a bit of rain but also dont want to spend the week in a shelter. Please let us know any opinion any one has. Trip is non refundable but I'm sure we could work out something. Dont want to though. Please advise.

Margo in Texas
Quote:
Originally Posted by Entilzha
Latest discussion from NOAA looks pretty bad.

OUTFLOW IS STRONG BOTH TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NOW THAT THE CIRCULATION IS CONSOLIDATING...A MORE RAPID STRENGTHENING TREND IS LIKELY... WITH THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT BEING THE ONLY OBVIOUS INHIBITING FACTOR. BOTH THE SHIPS AND GFDL MODELS ARE FORECASTING EMILY TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE IN THREE DAYS...

That means Type 2-3 hurricane within 48-72 hrs.

But the most worrisome is the next sentence:

THE DEEP TROUGH CURRENTLY VISIBLE IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS EXPECTED TO LIFT OUT AND BE REPLACED BY HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SHOULD KEEP EMILY ON A BASIC WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR MOST OR ALL OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

Track is a beeline straight for the Yucatan with no northward turn forecast.

That being said, anything can happen because this is still way too early. From the tracking history, Emily looks a lot like Isidore which did finally turn North and missed our favorite piece of paradise.

What I mean with this thread is that Emily is to be watched very very closely.

That 2005 hurricane season is really weird...one for the history books . Normally, Atlantic tropical storms in July fizzle out and die before reaching the Windward Island because the water is not warm enough. However, this year's storms have already taught us to throw the history books out the window.
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Old 07-13-2005   #44 (permalink)
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Mfj, I feel your pain.But I would not go.Thats just me.Playa is not far above sea level,and there really is no place to go to escape.They are thinking cat 3,thats very bad,could even be worse.To me it is just not worth it.
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Old 07-13-2005   #45 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MFJ
Trip is non refundable but I'm sure we could work out something. Dont want to though. Please advise.
there is plenty of drinking/shopping to be done - i'd personally prefer it to be done during non-beach time - the rain will provide an opportunity to do so without intentionally sacrificing the sunshine! im in, no matter what - at least i wont be at work! amen & hallelujah
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