Election 2006

[Icon oclast]

Originally Posted by kirbyfan

Polls schmolls!

Didnt they have Kerry winning the last election?

I know for a fact that they had Jesse Ventura not having a chance in Minnesota a number of years back and he won. I bet we could come up with countless examples of polls being pretty inaccurate.

I find it amusing that the Dems get all excited every election relying on these polls and then find themselves terribly disappointed. I wonder how many will threaten to move to Canada again?

The exit polling caused them to get their undies in a bundle for awhile until they realized Francois Kerry lost. Reuters Zogby polls were also fairly inaccurate if i remember correctly. There are so many polls at so many points in time that they are almost laughable. About 20% of voters are undecided and they will decide the election. Highly vocal advocates still have to get off their asses and get to the polls. This has been a problem for the dems. Repubs have a good last minute ground game. I am actually encouraged by the dems fielding some moderate candidates and would vote for a few if they were running here.

[roni]

Most recent poll numbers

http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2006/11/02/us/politics/02pollgraphic.html

and

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2006/11/01/opinion/polls/main2143466.shtml

and to think I have a meeting on Tuesday that starts at the same times that polls on the East Coast start closing.

[PlayadelSoul]

Just in case one of your candidates tries to rewrite history, you can find out who voted for what when it came time to vote for Iraq, here, along with some interesting quotes

http://www.freedomagenda.com/iraq/wmd_quotes.html

[roni]

Originally Posted by PlayadelSoul

Just in case one of your candidates tries to rewrite history, you can find out who voted for what when it came time to vote for Iraq, here, along with some interesting quotes

http://www.freedomagenda.com/iraq/wmd_quotes.html

Yeah, you particularly might wanna check on the Republican Senate incumbents in close races who are running away from Iraq and Bush and Cheney and Rumsfeld as fast as their old little legs can take them

Except for Burns, he is staying the course.

The candidate in Maryland refused to say he was a prould Bush Republican in a debate, saying merely that he was a proud Republican.

Tuesday night / Wednesday morning will be interesting, regardless of the outcome.

[PlayadelSoul]

Originally Posted by roni

Yeah, you particularly might wanna check on the Republican Senate incumbents in close races who are running away from Iraq and Bush and Cheney and Rumsfeld as fast as their old little legs can take them

Except for Burns, he is staying the course.

The candidate in Maryland refused to say he was a prould Bush Republican in a debate, saying merely that he was a proud Republican.

Tuesday night / Wednesday morning will be interesting, regardless of the outcome.

Just want people to have the facts, roni. When people label the President as a liar, it is interesting to see who else was in on the conspiracy. I especially like the certainty with which Bill Clinton stated that Iraq was a threat as a terrorist nation. Makes you wonder if he passed that info on to the Bush administration, when he told them about bin Laden.

Politicians should be held accountable for their votes. Rewriting history may be an option for congressional candidates, but they should not be allowed to do so by voters.

[roni]

Senate rundown with latest state poll numbers

Right here at this link

[roni]

US Senate:

Current Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gains of 5-7 seats, and state and national dynamics favor Democrats netting six seats and winning control.

LIKELY TAKEOVER (2 R, 0 D)

* DeWine (R-OH)
* Santorum (R-PA)

LEAN TAKEOVER (4 R, 0 D)

* Allen (R-VA)
* Burns, (R-MT)
* Chafee, (R-RI)
* Talent (R-MO)

TOSS-UP (1 R, 1 D)

* TN Open (Frist, R)
* Menendez (D-NJ)

NARROW ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (1 R, 1 D)

* Kyl (R-AZ)
* MD Open (D-Sarbanes)

US House of Representatives

2006 House Ratings
For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here.

Current Rothenberg Political Report projection: Democratic gain of 34-40 seats.

[roni]

Recent Zogby/Reuters polls in key Senate race states -

REUTERS/ZOGBY POLL KEY RESULTS: Democrats must gain six seats in Tuesday's election to win U.S. Senate control, and they lead in six of the seven most vulnerable Republican-held states, according to Reuters/Zogby polls released on Thursday... The polls of at least 600 likely voters in each state, taken Oct. 24 to Oct. 30, have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Connecticut Senate
Lieberman (I) 49%
Lamont (D) 37%

Maryland Senate
Cardin (D) 49%
Steele (R) 44%

Missouri Senate
McCaskill (D) 46%
Talent (R) 43%

Montana Senate
Tester (D) 47%
Burns (R) 46%

New Jersey Senate
Menendez (D) 49%
Kean (R) 37%

Ohio Senate
Brown (D) 49%
DeWine (R) 42%

Pennsylvania Senate
Casey (D) 48%
Santorum 40%

Rhode Island Senate
Whitehouse (D) 53%
Chafee (R) 39%

Tennessee Senate
Corker (R) 53%
Ford (D) 43%

Virginia Senate
Webb (D) 45%
Allen (R) 44%

[PlayadelSoul]

Too bad for the Democrats that the polls don't count. Although, I believe the GOP will lose seats, I don't think it is going to be as bad as projected.

[roni]

I assume that what you are saying is that the polls do not determine the winners of the election. I think all of us are aware of that, but in case some aren't, thanks for the reminder

We won't know most of the outcomes of the election until we wake up on Wednesday - though some of the races seem so tight that unless they break one way or the other in the next days, it may be later than then before the elections are all settled.

[BonnyW]

I have now hung up the phone 15 times in 4.5 hours on people/machines calling me to ask us to either vote for their candidate or participate in a poll! Now the friggin' cell phone is starting to get the calls...I wonder how many people lie on the polls just to keep the zealots from calling back

Next week can't come fast enough....

I feel better now

[Seakony]

Originally Posted by PlayadelSoul

Just in case one of your candidates tries to rewrite history, you can find out who voted for what when it came time to vote for Iraq, here, along with some interesting quotes

http://www.freedomagenda.com/iraq/wmd_quotes.html

Well, that just about says it all. Loved the quotes by the Clintons and Gore...who had that info during their time...what was their secret reasons to go to war?

[PlayadelSoul]

Originally Posted by roni

I assume that what you are saying is that the polls do not determine the winners of the election. I think all of us are aware of that, but in case some aren't, thanks for the reminder

We won't know most of the outcomes of the election until we wake up on Wednesday - though some of the races seem so tight that unless they break one way or the other in the next days, it may be later than then before the elections are all settled.

Looks like some lawsuits are already being prepared in a couple of locales. Florida being one of them. Funny how the cry was to go to electronic voting after the hanging chads. Now, we hear that the electronic ballots are not to be trusted. Go figure.

[Seakony]

Where are these people doing the exit poll? I have never seen them....but then my district is a given. Do they go to heavily liberal voting centers or conservative voting places or do they mis it up...IMO polls are not accurate.

I sure don't want to have to pay more taxes again. They are already hitting me hard on cigarettes and I can't even smoke them anywhere but home and my care....and I don't have kids to put in the schools.... I am getting ripped-off big time.

[sctx]

Originally Posted by PlayadelSoul

Looks like some lawsuits are already being prepared in a couple of locales. Florida being one of them. Funny how the cry was to go to electronic voting after the hanging chads. Now, we hear that the electronic ballots are not to be trusted. Go figure.

I'm wondering if video and audio recording of verbal votes would be uncomplicated enough for them Florida folks.......don't trust the system, but by all means do not present valid ID to vote......pricelss really