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#16 (permalink) | |
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big sexy speedo guy
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Top of the Chesapeake Bay, Md
Posts: 9,272
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#17 (permalink) | |
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way into it
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Land of Pleasant Living, Southern MD
Posts: 188
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#18 (permalink) |
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Happy Curmudgeon
![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Oregon
Posts: 23,227
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From the Washington Post's website
Let's Parse the Polls! Clinton appears to start the race in the pole position as she led Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) 41 percent to 17 percent. Former Sen. John Edwards (N.C.) placed third with 11 percent. Clinton's lead overall extends to most subgroups in the survey. A few are particularly interesting: * Among non-white voters Clinton led Obama 56 percent to 16 percent. Cohen notes that "non white" encompasses African American, Hispanic, Asian and "other" voters, but the subgroup is dominated by black voters. In fact, if you combine black voters in the Post's December and January surveys, Clinton leads Obama among black voters 60 percent to 20 percent. Given that Obama is black and would be the first African-American elected president, it's somewhat surprising that the historic nature of his candidacy has not galvanized the black community. Of course there are two mitigating factors: First, former President Bill Clinton remains an iconic figure in the black community and some of his popularity appears to be wearing off on his wife. Second, Hillary Clinton remains a far better known commodity nationwide than Obama. As hard as it is to believe, there are still plenty of potential voters who know little or nothing about Obama; few people can say the same of Clinton. * Clinton leads Obama among unmarried women 56 percent to 13 percent, while leading among married women by a far less impressive 41 percent to 23 percent. As the Post's Lois Romano explored in her story earlier this week, Clinton's campaign is putting considerable focus on wooing women with a message that she, like them, is a mother and a daughter. The numbers above suggest that the women's vote is quite nuanced. Clinton is seen as a iconic figure among younger women who admire her ability to balance her professional and private lives. Among women who have never been married she holds a 43 percent to 12 percent edge over Obama. Clinton's female contemporaries are more suspect about her motives (too cold? too calculating?), and represent a much more serious challenge for her campaign. * The idea that Clinton has positioned herself as a moderate Democrat appears to be borne out in the survey. She holds her widest lead over Obama (54 percent to 16 percent) among self-identified conservative Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. Her narrowest lead is among liberals, who favor Clinton over Obama 38 percent to 20 percent. Moderates favor Clinton 37 percent to 15 percent. Clinton has a right to feel good about her margins across the ideological spectrum but must watch her left flank carefully. The nomination fights tend to be dominated by liberal voters and she must find a way to convince this influential voting bloc that she -- not Obama, Edwards or even former Vice President Al Gore -- is best equipped to represent their interests in the general election.
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#19 (permalink) |
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toe in water
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Omak, Washington
Posts: 51
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I too will be hoping for a Clinton nomination as I think she is not electable. But just in case I will be purchasing more likely to be restricted firearms just in case
Some time ago (2 years ago) I was told to watch Mitt Romney as he was a person who will likely be a solid candidate. It would appear that this may actually be taking place. I don't know alot about him yet but will be watching. Right now I think that McCain is the strongest candidate, but we'll see. |
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#25 (permalink) | |
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Dude That Cut His Hair
![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Body in San Marcos Tx....Tankah in my mind
Posts: 25,298
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#30 (permalink) | |
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aņejo
![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 16,538
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