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Old 09-27-2017   #46 (permalink)
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Why 2018 might not be such an amazing election for Democrats - CNNPolitics

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(CNN)All the signs suggest that 2018 is going to be a very good year for Democrats.

Midterm elections are historically terrible for the president's party. In 18 of the last 20 midterm elections, the president's party has lost seats. In those 18 elections, the average seat loss is 33. Those numbers are even more daunting for presidents under 50% job approval -- as Donald Trump is right now. Since 1946, the average seat loss in the House in that situation is 36 seats.



But before Democrats get too delirious about the election to come, they should read this paragraph from David Wasserman's terrific analysis of the 2018 election on FiveThirtyEight:

"Even if Democrats were to win every single 2018 House and Senate race for seats representing places that Hillary Clinton won or that Trump won by less than 3 percentage points — a pretty good midterm by historical standards — they could still fall short of the House majority and lose five Senate seats."

That's absolutely stunning. And reflective of the advantages Republicans have going into 2018 -- one, in the House, built on having largely controlled the 2010 redistricting process, and the other, in the Senate, based on how great the 2006 and 2012 elections were for Democrats.

In the House, there are 23 districts currently held by a Republican that Hillary Clinton won in 2016. (There are 12 seats held by Democrats that Trump won.) Of those 23, just eight went for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney in 2012 as well.

Even so, if Democrats won all 23 of the seats Clinton carried that are represented by Republicans -- and lost NONE of the dozen seats Trump won that are held by Democrats -- the party still comes up a seat short of the majority.

Republicans, quite simply, did a very good job in drawing the congressional lines in states where they controlled the entire process after the 2010 census. Large populations of Democrats are, as Wasserman notes, packed into urban districts while Republican voters are more spread out among suburban and rural seats.

That reality, coupled with the fact that political tribalism is on the rise, means that there are just far fewer chances for Democrats to make gains than there were a decade or two ago. (In 1996, there were 108 "crossover" districts where the member of Congress was from a different party than the presidential candidate who carried the seat.)...................
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Old 09-27-2017   #47 (permalink)
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Why are you citing a Fake News Network?

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Old 09-27-2017   #48 (permalink)
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Why are you citing a Fake News Network?

Did he quote you?
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Old 10-09-2017   #49 (permalink)
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Feinstein announced she will seek re-election.

I think she should have retired. Maybe she will rethink her decision

She turns 85 in 2018.
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Old 10-09-2017   #50 (permalink)
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Feinstein announced she will seek re-election.

I think she should have retired. Maybe she will rethink her decision

She turns 85 in 2018.
Good God, she was born when Prohibition ended.
......hmmmmmm.
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Old 10-09-2017   #51 (permalink)
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Utah Republican weighs Hatch primary challenge - POLITICO

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Utah Republican Boyd Matheson, a former chief of staff to Sen. Mike Lee, is strongly considering a 2018 challenge to veteran GOP Sen. Orrin Hatch – the latest in a string of potential primaries against sitting Republican senators.

Matheson, a prominent conservative who currently runs the Salt Lake City-based Sutherland Institute think tank, would be a formidable contender should he decide to run. Matheson traveled to Washington last week, where he met with former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon and Citizens United President David Bossie. Both have emerged as leaders of an intensifying conservative campaign to oust Republican incumbents and replace them with bomb-throwing outsiders – an effort that is aimed at undermining Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.
Orrin is 83 years old
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Old 10-11-2017   #52 (permalink)
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Is this kind of lie going to hurt Judge Moore in Alabama?

Undisclosed deal guaranteed Roy Moore $180,000 a year for part-time work at charity

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Former Alabama judge Roy Moore, a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate, once said publicly that he did not take a “regular salary” from the small charity he founded to promote Christian values because he did not want to be a financial burden.

But privately, Moore had arranged to receive a salary of $180,000 a year for part-time work at the Foundation for Moral Law, internal charity documents show. He collected more than $1 million as president from 2007 to 2012, compensation that far surpassed what the group disclosed in its public tax filings most of those years.
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The charity has employed at least two of Moore’s children, although their compensation is not reflected in tax filings. Moore’s wife, Kayla, who is now president, was paid a total of $195,000 over three years through 2015.
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An Internal Revenue Service audit of the Foundation for Moral Law’s 2013 finances, provided by the charity, concluded that it left out information about fundraising and other activities on its public tax filings and also identified discrepancies between those filings and its internal books. The IRS wrote that the issues “could jeopardize your exempt status.”
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Seven charity and tax law specialists consulted by The Post said the nonprofit’s activities raised questions about compliance with IRS rules, including prohibitions on the use of a charity for the private benefit or enrichment of an individual.

“The biggest issue is the benefit to Roy Moore,” said Paul Streckfus, a former tax lawyer at the IRS and editor of the EO Tax Journal, when told of The Post’s findings.

In interviews with The Post, Alabama Circuit Court Judge John Bentley, a longtime member of the charity’s board and its former chairman, denied that the Foundation for Moral Law served Moore’s personal or political goals. He said the group’s officials did not intentionally do anything wrong.

But he said that he could not fully explain inconsistencies in audits and public tax filings, and that he and other board members did not provide enough oversight. He acknowledged the nonprofit was essentially run by Moore and his family.
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Old 10-13-2017   #53 (permalink)
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Susan Collins has announced she is running for the Senate again, not for the Governor of Maine.

Would be good to see her in the Senate for another 6 years. I expect Bannon to recruit a right wing nut job to run against her
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Old 4 Weeks Ago   #54 (permalink)
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Bannon crisscrossing US to pitch GOP mega-donors: report | TheHill

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Bannon met last week with Bernie Marcus, a co-founder of the Home Depot and longtime Republican donor who has reportedly given over $2 million to a PAC backing Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), a central figure in Bannon's populist insurgency against establishment lawmakers.

The Breitbart News boss has reportedly met with many of the party's top donors over the past few weeks, in an effort to unite them against McConnell, who Bannon and others have blamed for the GOP's struggles to pass ObamaCare repeal and other high-profile agenda items backed by President Trump.
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Old 4 Weeks Ago   #55 (permalink)
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The Daily 202: Ex-CIA officers running for Congress as Democrats
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Old 4 Weeks Ago   #56 (permalink)
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A Fox News poll released to day shows that the Democratic candidate for the US Senate seat is tied with that loony Judge Moore, 42 to 42.
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Old 4 Weeks Ago   #57 (permalink)
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A Fox News poll released to day shows that the Democratic candidate for the US Senate seat is tied with that loony Judge Moore, 42 to 42.
I thought you don't use fake fox news

Typical far left liberal ,you use it when it fits your agenda
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Old 4 Weeks Ago   #58 (permalink)
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Originally Posted by steve balt View Post
I thought you don't use fake fox news

Typical far left liberal ,you use it when it fits your agenda
Nope. First, I am not a far left liberal. Second, I did not see it reported on Fox News, I saw it reported on a different network.

It is interesting how you right wingers are willing to make up stuff all the time.

Also, while Fox News polls have used leading language from time to time, they are generally considered all right by polling pros.
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Old 4 Weeks Ago   #59 (permalink)
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McConnell: Bannon, others gunning to knock off GOP incumbents are ‘specialists at nominating people who lose’

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Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) on Sunday sharply criticized former White House chief strategist Stephen K. Bannon and others trying to knock off Republican incumbents as “specialists at nominating people who lose.”
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Old 4 Weeks Ago   #60 (permalink)
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So let's hear it!
Who are the Dem's going to send to the poll in 2020? There's realistically less than 2 1/2 years before the campaigning starts in earnest.
Mark Cuban?!?! Really?
The closest thing you people have to a viable candidate is Franken. And he can't buy enough old Chryslers with giant trunks to stuff ballots into between now and then.
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