Playa del Carmen, Mexico's virtual guidebook written by locals

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current NOAA links for Tropical Storms

National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 04 Jul 2009 11:34:43 GMT
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 040555
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO THE EAST OF ITS CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
AS IT MOVES EASTWARD NEAR 10 MPH TOWARD COOLER WATERS. THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG


Dr Jeff Masters Blog

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog
Weather Underground RSS Feed for JeffMasters's Blog

July hurricane outlook
Atlantic tropical cyclone activity typically picks up a bit during the first half of July. Since the current active hurricane period began in 1995, seven of 14 years (50%) have had a named storm form during the first half of July. The busiest first half of July occurred in 2005, when three hurricanes formed. These included Hurricane Dennis and Hurricane Emily--the strongest hurricanes ever observed so early in the season. As seen in Figure 1, most of the early July ...<br /><a href="http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1251">Read More</a>
New $50 million hurricane research center: a bad idea
Hurricane track forecasts have improved by about 50% over the past twenty years, which has undoubtedly saved many lives and billions of dollars. These forecast improvements have primarily resulted from the investment made in hurricane research, which has been funded at approximately $50 million per year over that period. To me, it is unfathomable that our nation spends so little on scientific research that provides such an incredible value. The President's National ...<br /><a href="http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1250">Read More</a>
The 6 lost Hurricane Hunter missions, Part III: Typhoon Doris, 1953
The tropics are quiet right now, as the "invest 93" disturbance over the Yucatan Peninsula has dissipated, and no computer models are showing any Atlantic tropical storm formation over the next seven days. Thus, it's a good time to continue with my series on the six typhoon/hurricane hunter missions that never returned.The third typhoon hunter mission lost occurred on December 16, 1953, during a penetration by a Navy PB4Y-2S (Bu No 59176) into Typhoon Doris. The air...<br /><a href="http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1249">Read More</a>
Much Ado About Nothing: Invest93L
Hi, this is Rob Carver, again filling in for Jeff Masters. Invest93L is still present as of the 8am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, but I'm extremely doubtful that it will reach even tropical depression status. Invest93L's presentation on satellite imagery does not project the image of a strengthening storm. Convection, what there is of it, appears to be anchored over the Yucatan Straits and is not following the low-level circulation center. Also, microwave imag...<br /><a href="http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1248">Read More</a>
A late look at Invest93L
Hi everybody, this is Rob Carver, R&D Scientist for Wunderground, filling in for Jeff Masters. Summary of the situationIn the Tropical Weather Outlook NHC has tagged a tropical wave in the NW Caribbean Sea as Invest93L and believes that it has a 30-50% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. As of now (11 PM PDT, June 26), the Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate this area on June 28. The track models have Invest93L moving t...<br /><a href="http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1247">Read More</a>